UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs Rodriguez odds, predictions, lines: MMA expert shares surprising fight card picks

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Brian Ortega says his two losses in title fights have shown him what it takes to become a champion, and he intends to show what he’s learned on Saturday when he faces fellow featherweight Yair Rodriguez in the main event of UFC Fight Night. The battle of the top five contenders with title implications will highlight the main card (2 p.m. ET) at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY. The second-ranked Ortega saw his only UFC losses to current champion Alexander Volkanovski and former champion Max Holloway, both in title fights. Ortega says he still plans to wear the belt before he retires, but to win a third title he must get past the dangerous, third-placed Rodriguez, who could secure his first title bid with a victory.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Ortega as a -160 favorite (risk $160 to win $100), while Rodriguez is a +140 underdog in the latest UFC Fight Night odds: Ortega vs. Rodriguez. In the co-main event, female strawweight contenders are in the spotlight as Amanda Lemos (-335) meets Michelle Waterson (+275). Before locking in any UFC Fight Night pick: Ortega vs. Rodriguez, be sure to check out MMA picks and betting tips from SportsLine fight expert Andrew Gombas.

Gombas is a former NCAA wrestler who draws on his experience on the mat to help understand and dissect the Xs and O’s of MMA matchups in a way that sets him apart from other MMA analysts. He launched MMA handicapping service MMA Knockout Bets in 2018 and has turned a profit every year since.

With over 1,400 caps tracked by third-party monitoring service Bet MMA, it has shown a 6% return on investment for its subscribers. Over the past two years, his followers have made a profit of over $10,000.

Last month at UFC 275, Gombas swept the board with his main card picks and the five-fight sweep included telling SportsLine members to back Jake Matthews (+125) vs. Andre Fialho (-145) in a clash of welterweight prospects. Matthews dominated from the start and scored a second-round stoppage to hand the Gombas supporters another easy winner. Everyone who has followed Gombas has already seen massive returns.

Now, with UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez in sight, Gombas has studied the card from all angles and released his top MMA picks. These picks are only available on SportsLine.

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez preview

Ortega (15-2-1) was widely seen as a future champion when he joined the UFC eight years ago, and he tapped into the potential by starting his UFC move with a seven-fight no-show streak. defeat. He rose to the top of the UFC rankings, but fell short of winning the title against Alexander Volkanovski and Max Holloway, who are responsible for his two losses in the promotion.

Although his December 2018 loss to Holloway was lopsided, Ortega came close to knocking Volkanovski down last September at UFC 266. The wild back-and-forth affair saw both fighters edge closer to the end in many occasions, and the challenger appeared to have a fight-ending choke hold on the champion on at least two occasions. But Volkanovski survived and won a unanimous decision.

The Memorable War won Fight of the Year across multiple media outlets and Ortega saw his stock rise higher than he probably did behind any of his victories. The 31-year-old Los Angeles native will likely secure a rematch with Volkanovski if he gets past Rodriguez, although it won’t be an easy task.

Rodriguez (13-3-1) has been near the top of the UFC rankings for much of his eight-year tenure with the promotion. But a slew of injuries led to many long breaks between fights, and his mild-mannered disposition contributed to somewhat limited recognition among the media and MMA fans.

Still, the 29-year-old Mexican fighter showed all his tools in a classic five-round main event against Holloway last November. The former champion won a close decision, but Rodriguez’s performance was enough to keep him in the title picture. You can only see who to pick at UFC Fight Night here.

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Yair predictions

We’ll share one of Gombas’ UFC Fight Night predictions here: He backs Muslim Salikhov (-165) to earn a win over Li Jingliang (+145) in a clash of welterweight prospects on the main card.

Jingliang (18-7) is an eight-year UFC veteran who went 10-5 in 15 appearances with the promotion while facing mostly top-level competition. The versatile 34-year-old Chinese fighter was climbing the rankings behind a streak in which he went 8-2, but fell back in his last fight with a first-round stoppage loss to rising star Khamzat Chimaev, who has since reached No 3 in the standings. Jingliang now sits at No. 14.

Salikhov (18-2) is a powerhouse prospect who has picked up five straight wins after a loss in his UFC debut, but the 38-year-old Russian fighter will take a step up in competition against a ranked opponent on the main card. .

“I expect Salikhov and Jingliang to engage in a competitive striking affair. Jingliang is a bit more of a traditional striker, while Salikhov is more creative with his attacks. I lean slightly with Salikhov but expect that this fight results in a relatively close decision,” Gombas told SportsLine. See who else to choose here.

How to Make UFC Fight Night Picks

Gombas also has strong picks for Ortega against Rodriguez and other bouts on the UFC Fight Night card. He also backs a fighter who “will have a big advantage” to come out with a dominating win. These UFC Fight Night picks are only available on SportsLine.

Who wins Ortega versus Rodriguez? And what other choices do you need to see? Visit SportsLine now for detailed top picks on UFC Fight Night, all from the insider who has earned over $10,000 on MMA picks over the past two years. and find out.

UFC Fight Night odds, fight card

See full UFC Fight Night picks, predictions, best bets here
Brian Ortega (-160) vs. Yair Rodriguez (+140)
Amanda Lemos (-335) vs. Michelle Waterson (+275)
Muslim Salikhov (-165) against Li Jingliang (+145)
Su Mudaerji (-255) vs. Matt Schnell (+215)
Shane Burgos (-160) against Charles Jourdain (+140)
Miesha Tate (-210) vs. Lauren Murphy (+180)
Jack Shore (-170) vs. Ricky Simon (+150)
Punahele Soriano (-240) against Dalcha Lungiambula (+200)
Bill Algeo (-185) vs. Herbert Burns (+165)
Dustin Jacoby (-120) vs. Da Un Jung (+100)
Dwight Grant (-140) vs Dustin Stoltzfus (+120)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov (-150) vs. Phil Rowe (+130)
Emily Ducote (-140) vs. Jessica Penne (+120)

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