When the Bears (4-8) travel to take on their rivals Packers (9-3) in the penultimate NFL Week 14 game on “Sunday Night Football” (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC), they will try to play spoiler. Chicago’s playoff hopes have faded as host Green Bay battles for the NFC playoff seed.
The Bears will have rookie quarterback Justin Fields (ribs) again on Andy Dalton (questionable left hand). He’ll get the help needed with the return of wide receiver Allen Robinson (hamstring) to assist running back David Montgomery, wide receiver Darnell Mooney and tight end Cole Kmet in offensive skill positions.
The Packers will see Aaron Rodgers (toe) play again on his injury after a pass. Wide receivers Davante Adams (hamstrings) and Marquez Valdes-Scantling (back) will do the same, while Randall Cobb (core-out) will not.
Here’s everything you need to know about betting on Packers vs. Bears in Week 14, including updated odds, trends and our prediction for “Sunday Night Football”.
NFL CHOICE OF THE WEEK 14: Against the spread | Directly
Packers vs Bears odds for Sunday night football
- Propagated: Packers by 12
- Above / Below: 43
- Cash : Bear +480, Packers -650
The Packers have been big double-digit favorites all week and the change in QB for the Bears had little effect on them. The Packers are well rested as the Bears come off a tough home loss to the Cardinals.
(betting odds by FanDuel Sportsbook)
Packers vs. Bears All-Time Streak
The Packers lead the longtime 102-95-6 streak. They’ve won five straight games and 10 of the last 11 to get ahead. They have also won 14 of 16 games. The Bears last won in December 2016. Rodgers is right; he “owns” them.
Three trends to know
—76 percent of punters spread think the count is too large in favor of the Packers and are siding with the Bears for backhanded coverage.
—55% of over / under bettors think the total is a bit too low considering the attacking potential of both teams.
—The Bears are 3-7 ATS and 3-7 in a row in their last 10 games, with three of the games over. The Packers are 9-1 ATS and 8-2 in the SU in their last 10 games, with three of those games over.
Three things to watch out for
Fields vs. the Packers
The Bears have nothing to lose by letting Fields let go as a runner and deep passer now that he’s near full strength in terms of weapons and has been cleared to be a double threat before getting hurt against. the Ravens. Making Fields feel and look great before the end of the season is the only goal now before getting a new coach.
Rodgers vs. Bears
Rodgers will be determined to live up to his trashy pitch and can burn off a Bears pass defense minus the pressure from Khail Mack and few responses in the secondary. He stripped and embarrassed them again in the first meeting and can put the final nail in coach Matt Nagy’s rocky tenure.
Racing games
The Bears feed Montgomery as much as possible down the stretch to bolster their offense. He’ll also be essential in relieving Fields and working the clock to help keep Rodgers off the field. The Packers have the 1-2 punch from Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon that can help them defeat the Bears up front and shut them down in the second half.
Stat that matters
120.1. That’s the average rushing yards per game the Bears give up, good for the No. 23 in the NFL. They’ve been worn out up front and the Packers won’t hesitate to go down all night with Jones and Dillon.
Prediction Packers vs. Bears
The Bears will be a bit more competitive at the start with Fields, but eventually Rodgers, Adams, Jones and the Packers will snowball offensive, scoring early and often to stay two steps ahead. The Packers’ defense also tends to play better at home against limited opponents. They just have too much at stake and too much in their favor to drop here.
Packers 38, Bear 17
