Bears vs Commanders odds, line, spread: Thursday Night Football picks, NFL predictions from advanced model


Uneven quarterbacks will clash when Justin Fields takes on Carson Wentz on Thursday Night Football. Fields and the Bears are 2-3 this season but have lost back-to-back games. Wentz and the Washington Commanders are 1-4 after four straight losses. The Bears and Commanders will square off for the first time since 2019, with Soldier Field showcasing the action in Chicago. The Commanders are 1-4 ATS this season, while the Bears covered last week against the Vikings.

Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Chicago. Caesars Sportsbook lists the game as a pick’em at Soldier Field, while the over/under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is 38 in the latest Bears vs. Commanders odds. Before making Commanders vs. Bears choices, be sure to check out NFL predictions and SportsLine projection model betting tips.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up nearly $7,000 for players at $100 on top NFL Picks since its creation. The model enters Week 6 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 146-105 run on NFL’s top picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years on NFL direct picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Anyone who followed him is upstairs.

Now the model has set its sights on Bears vs. Commanders and just locked in his TNF picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see model choices.. here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Commanders vs. Bears:

  • Spread bears against commanders: PK
  • Bears vs. Commanders over/under: 38 points
  • Bears vs Commanders money line: Commanders -110, Bears -110
  • WASH: Commanders are 1-4 ATS this season
  • CHI: Bears are 2-2-1 ATS in 2022
  • Bears vs. Commanders choice: View SportsLine Picks

Featured game | Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders

Why Commanders Can Cover

The Bears are second to last in total offense, averaging 274 yards per game and producing just 27.4 yards per drive. Chicago is averaging just 17.2 points per game, No. 27, and No. 31 in first downs. In the air, the Bears are the worst team this season, amassing just 583 total passing yards in five games. Chicago’s leading wide receiver has just 10 receptions in five games, and the Bears are tied for 30th in passing touchdowns.

The Bears are in the bottom five in the NFL in passer rating and third down efficiency and have attempted fewer passes in five games than any NFL team since 1982. Washington is above average against the rush, yielding just 110.6 yards per game, and is in the top 10 in yards per rush allowed (4.2) and first downs allowed. Washington is also the elite in third defensive position, giving up a conversion on just 30.4% of attempts. See which team to support here.

Why Bears Can Hedge

The Bears are excellent rushing offensively, averaging 157.4 rushing yards per game, ranking in the top five in the NFL. That includes 4.9 yards per carry, and Chicago has a pair of dynamic running backs in David Montgomery and Khalil Herbert. Chicago is enjoying success in the red zone with seven touchdowns on 12 trips inside the 20-yard line and will face a Washington defense that is No. 26 or worse in total defense, turnover creation, defense of assists, passer rating allowed and touchdown passes allowed.

On defense, Chicago is netting just 21.2 points per game and 1.83 points per practice, and the Bears have forced eight turnovers in five games. Roquan Smith leads the way with an NFL-leading 54 tackles in five games, and Washington is below average in offense, turnover prevention, sack prevention, rushing yards per game and yards on the ground per attempt. See which team to support here.

How to Make Bears vs Commanders Picks

SportsLine’s model leans into the total, calling for a combined 42 points. It also indicates that one side of the gap cashes in well over 60% of simulations. You can only get the model’s TNF picks on SportsLine.

So who wins Commanders vs. Bears on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bears Commanders spread, all from the forward model that has risen nearly $7,000 on its NFL picks since 2017and find out.


Comments are closed.